Hello Forecasters,
Welcome back to the Inflection Point.
This week, we’re giving you an update on ‘Medical Aesthetics’
TL;DR
- The "undetectable’ surgery era is here, driven by a desire to appear “natural.”
- Cosmetic loans fuel this growth with “buy now, look better” debt models.
- Despite the $1 billion annual industry growth, many med spas are unprofitable— according to experts, they need to operate more like retail stores, not clinics.
Filler backlash is fueling surgery.
For years, fillers were the go-to for a quick fix:
- Volume
- Wrinkles
- Contouring
But like Adriana Lima and Madonna, people who get too much filler end up with ‘filler migration’ (puffy face) and later opt to ‘dissolve’ their filler to achieve a more natural look.
The youngest to do this was Kylie Jenner.
See how she appears to have a more “natural” face now?
Her injections are less detectable despite getting more procedures to appear that way.
As consumer concern for ‘filler migration’ and ‘dissolve filler’ sharply increases, interest in traditional 'dermal fillers' is declining.
Botox may still be significantly rising, but patients are growing wary of overdone injections and opting for something lasting—something less detectable.
We’re in the era of ‘undetectable’ surgery.
Gone are the days when obvious surgery is a status symbol.
Today, appearing “natural” is in—and it’s not just about skincare routines or injections.
With advancements in:
- Lasers
- Surgery
- High-End Skincare
The most sought-after procedures are the ones you can’t spot.
The goal of these procedures is to look flawless and years younger, creating an illusion that your glowing appearance is natural—a gift from the genetic gods.
In almost every case, it's not.
Christina Arguilera’s viral post may be the most remarkable example yet.
“It’s not just that she looks good for her age (43); she looks 20 years younger.” – Dazed Magazine
Injections won’t get you there; surgery will.
Fintech is here to help.
With 'buy now, pay later' models like Affirm and Cherry Technologies entering the scene, more consumers can access costly procedures without the upfront expense.
This convergence of natural looking surgery advancements and flexible payment options is primed to drive a boom in cosmetic surgeries.
For CPG brands, this signals an opportunity.
Beauty isn’t just about what you put on your skin but the entire journey.
As more people opt for permanent changes, skincare products that support pre and post-surgery care will be in high demand.
Beauty brands should position themselves as essential parts of this process, from initial consultations to recovery.
Surgeons as influencers.
Social media is the new beauty consultant.
Before booking that consultation, consumers follow surgeons and med spas online, comparing work, aesthetics, and results.
Dr. Prem Tripathi has close to 800K TikTok followers.
His beauty trend predictions?
- Skin Growth Factors
- Biostimulators
- Exosomes
The data backs him up.
As surgeons become influencers, we’ll see more behind-the-scenes 'process stories' from decision-making to recovery.
For skincare brands, this is huge.
There’s a prime opportunity to be featured at every step—whether it’s the skincare routine clients use before surgery or the recovery products they’re turning to post-op.
Med spas are booming but many are losing money.
Why?
Most have been run like clinics—focused solely on administering treatments, not upselling. But as clients seek long-term beauty investments, we’re seeing a shift toward membership models and product-based sales.
The future?
High-end skincare brands will line the shelves of luxury med spas, bridging the gap between pre-surgery care and post-surgery maintenance.
As consumers lean into the wellness space, these spas will become hubs for more than just procedures—they’ll sell the promise of continued self-care.
Ok, that's all we’ve got for now.
Thanks for spending time with us on this week's Inflection Point.
We’ll see you next time.
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